Spot gold and silver prices are sharply lower in early U.S. trading Wednesday, after hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data revived concerns that energy-driven price pressure will keep the Federal Reserve’s year-end tightening path in place.
#Comex_Gold Trading Near 4,100 oz/$ #Comex_Silver Trading Near 55.800 $ Market positioning shifted back toward the hawkish side after September CPI rose 0.6% on the month and 3.7% from a year earlier, above the 3.6% consensus and up from 3.4% in August. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month and 2.6% year over year, while gasoline rose 9.1% and the energy index climbed 5.2%, showing that the oil shock is feeding directly into headline inflation. The print does not make an October hike the base case, but it reinforces the December-hike channel that was already heavily priced after Fed minutes showed most officials still expected another increase by year-end. The 10-year Treasury yield was trading near the 5.2% area and the dollar index was off Monday’s 18-month high but firm enough to pressure metals. The next tests are Thursday’s PPI, retail sales, jobless claims and Philadelphia Fed survey, followed by Friday’s import and export prices and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s IMF appearance. Softer producer prices or weak spending would help gold by limiting real-rate pressure; a firm PPI or retail-sales print would keep the dollar and yields pointed against bullion. The Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran situation remains a direct oil shock risk and an indirect headwind for metals through inflation, yields and the dollar. Oil prices rose after an attack on a Saudi Aramco building in Dhahran, a container ship sank south of the Strait of Hormuz after hitting a naval mine and a tanker and container ship were struck inside the waterway. Iranian officials also said they were using new tactics to target ships, while the Iran-allied Houthis continued missile and drone attacks against Saudi Arabia. Brent crude traded near $106.60 a barrel and WTI near $95.79, with constrained diesel supplies adding to the inflation risk. The geopolitical channel remains supportive for gold in isolation, but Wednesday’s market transmission was bearish for bullion: higher crude strengthened the case for persistent inflation, lifted rate risk and amplified silver’s selloff through industrial-demand concerns. Global risk tone was mixed before the U.S. open. Dow futures and S&P 500 futures were modestly higher, while Nasdaq futures slipped as chip stocks extended their losing streak and investors weighed large-bank earnings. Asian markets were mixed, with Chinese and Hong Kong indexes higher and renewed pressure across semiconductor-heavy markets. European equities were modestly firmer, but the CPI overshoot kept the focus on U.S. yields, the dollar and whether the inflation data will pull more 2027 tightening into the curve. The key outside markets see Nymex WTI crude oil prices higher and trading near $95.79 a barrel, while Brent crude was near $106.60. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is trading near the 5.2% area. The U.S. dollar index is firm after pulling back from Monday’s high.Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Tuesday, October 13, 2026
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India's economic growth engine shifts into a higher gear | The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday raised India’s growth forecast for 2026 to 7% from 6.4% projected in July, citing stronger-than-expected momentum, resilient domestic demand, and robust services activity despite higher oil prices
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India’s merchandise exports jumped 23% to $44.4 billion in September, narrowing the trade deficit to $30.21 billion. Q2 exports hit a re...
